Such mass mortality has already occurred once in recent history. In 1998, an anomalous temperature increase, likely due to El Nino, bleached corals in the Pacific and Indian Oceans. The latter was particularly hit hard, with more than 70 percent of reefs dying near Maldives and the Lakshadweep Islands in the following years. Increased sea temperatures correlated with the amount of bleaching in Pacific reefs3, a finding that resonated with the scientific community. This led to many models using the temperature bleaching connection to predict that rising temperatures would have dire consequences for reef survival around the world.
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